There were some great games, and some not so great games, but 16 teams have become 8 and we are 11 days away from crowning a new world champion. Our predictions weren't on the blogosphere but on paper (and we would lie and change them, otherwise we wouldn't be the Most Honest Footy Blog*) so lets see how we did.
Uruguay beat South Korea during a rain-soaked affair that forced the few supporters to ride it out under the shelter of the stadium. A brilliant goal by Luis Suarez sent the South Americans through the the quarterfinals.
RGaucho- Uruguay, cornezinho-Uruguay, Daave-Uruguay. No surprises here.
Ghana ended the USA hopes of a deep run with a 2-1 victory in extra time. The USA again conceded two sloppy, early goals (first at the start of the game, then at the start of extra time). Ghana displayed their dominance with how effortlessly they pressured the ball and were clearly not as spent at the end of the 120 minutes.
RGaucho-USA, cornezinho-USA, Daave-USA. It would not be worth predicting correctly that Ghana would win, had to go with our boys.
Germany maintained their dominance over England in cup competitions with a 4-1 thrashing. Sure Lampard was denied a goal thanks to the ref seemingly falling for an optical illusion, but there was no question that the young Germans were superior to the listless Three Lions.
RGaucho-Germany, cornezinho-Germany, Daave-Germany. All the cards were in their favor. England squeaked through the group and Germany exposed them.
Argentina handled Mexico with ease in a 3-1 victory. Carlos Tevez's first goal was offside by about two Maradonas (note: a Maradona is a unit of length referring to the width of one Maradona, which varies in time but is now approximately 3 feet.) However, Mexico then handed a goal to Gonzalo Higuain before Carlos Tevez rifled in a shot that required no questioning.
RGaucho-Argentina, cornezinho-Argentina, Daave-Argentina. You had to know we wouldn't back Mexico, especially against such talent. And they knocked them out in this round four years ago.
The Netherlands dispatched the Slovaks with ease with goals from Robben and Sneijder. Slovakie blew some good chances and were able to pull one back with a meaningless penalty with the last kick of the game.
RGaucho- Netherlands, cornezinho-Netherlands, Daave-Netherlands. This was pretty straight forward.
Brasil cruised past Chile with a 3-0 performance. Chile went toe to toe for the first 33 minutes, but Juan's header goal off a corner killed their drive and Luis Fabiano danced past the defense and keeper just five minutes later.
RGaucho-Brasil, cornezinho-Brasil, Daave-Brasil. We all loved Chile's aggressive offense and quirky 3-3-1-3 formation, but getting past the canary yellow juggernaut was never going to happen.
Paraguay edged out Japan on penalties in what was an incredibly boring game. Neither team really deserved to win, and if Yuichi Komano hadn't fired his spot kick off the crossbar then they might still be going.
RGaucho-Japan, cornezinho-Paraguay, Daave-Paraguay. It really was a flip of the coin.
Spain passed their way past Portugal with a one-nil victory thank to David Villa, but La Roja Furia also showed their ability to grind out a win against a team only set on defense. Portugal's captain and diva, Cristiano Ronaldo, spent more time attacking the turf while pouting then attacking the Spanish net.
RGaucho-Spain. cornezinho-Spain, Daave-Spain. Portugal had the quality to win, but were disconnected going forward for the past 7 months.
Totals: RGaucho-6/8, cornezinho-7/8, Daave-7/8. Granted, most of the match-ups were pretty easy to call. Lets see how well we do for the quarterfinals.
*not an actual award, but we definitely would win it.
England crashed out of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa at the hands of the Germans, and suffered the usual blitzing of their media. Much of their hopes relied on young Wayne Rooney after his inspiring season with Manchester United, but Wazza was hopeless in South Africa and will certainly want to forget it all very soon.
Much hoopla was also made about a North Korean forward, one Jong Tae-Se aka the People's Wayne Rooney. And while a comparison between these two forwards seems very generous for the one from the Far East, they are actually quite similar (click for a clearer image).
In their World Cup campaigns, Tae-Se showed up Rooney by providing the assist for his country's only goal. Maybe now we should call Rooney the "British Jong Tae-Se."
I know I'm a little late with this, but here are my personal highlights and lowlights of the first 48 games of the Cup.
Best Player of the Group: Group A - Diego Forlan, Uruguay - My man crush on Diego Forlan has been cultivated through the first three games into full on admiration. He controlled pace and tempo in all three group stage matches and had one of the goals of the tournament.
Group B - Lionel Messi, Argentina - Agreeing with the majority here. Even though he hasn't put one in the net, Messi has been brilliant. His runs/passes have set up most of the opportunities for Los Albicelestes.
Group C - Tim Howard, United States - Far and away the Man of the Match against England, and it was his presence of mind (and not to mention his cannon of an arm) that set up the famous goal that put the Yanks through.
Group D - Mesut Özil, Germany - One of the best young players of the tournament so far. He has made some great runs and some slick passes. The winner against Ghana is a goal that few in football can make. This kid has a bright future.
Group E - Keisuke Honda, Japan - Honda showed flashes in the Champions League with CSKA Moscow, but his performance thus far has the soccer world at full rapture. This stunning goal against Denmark has cemented his reputation as one of the world's preeminent free kick artists.
Group F - Mark Paston, New Zealand - Paston was rock solid in goal for a New Zealand side that punched above its weight. The Wellington Phoenix player was tested with a barrage of shots in the last half hour against Italy and he passed with flying colors.
Group G - Maicon, Brazil - Maicon was all over the field in all three Group G games for a Brazil squad that has not shown its full potential yet. Was his goal against North Korea intended to be a cross? I say we stop asking and just admire one of the better strikes we've seen this year.
Group H - David Villa, Spain - The legend continues. If not for the missed PK against Honduras, he'd be the pole sitter for the Golden Boot heading into the Round of 16.
Biggest Disappointment: Group A - France - Although I picked Les Bleus to make it to the quarterfinals, I have to say that I have enjoyed the French meltdown. We all knew this team was dysfunctional, but I don't think anyone imagined things to get to this level.
Group B - Sani Kaita, Nigeria - After Keita's red card, which is something you would see in U-10's, things just fell apart for Nigeria. (Pun 100% Intended)
Group C - John Terry, England - Terry has been unremarkable in a position where England needs to step up. Trying and then failing to stage a coup against his coach is the cherry on top of this shit sundae.
Group D - Serbia's Strikeforce - I expected bigger things from the Serbian attack, especially against the vulnerable back lines of Australia and Ghana. Why they became so passive when Germany went down to 10 men is something I'll never figure out.
Group E - Jon Dahl Tomasson, Denmark - Tomasson had easily the worst individual performance of the group stage against Japan. The 33 year old seemed desperate to become Denmark's top all time scorer and it cost his team dearly. An embarrassing way for a Danish legend to go out.
Group F - Daniele De Rossi, Italy - De Rossi literally gave away goals to Slovakia. His performance in the game that mattered most for the Azzurri was emplematic of the defending champion's performance as a whole in this tournament.
Group G - Ivory Coast - I expected more fire and motivation for a team that was heavily hyped heading into the tournament. Then again, this is a side lead by Sven-Goran Eriksson. (I pray that he doesn't take the Fulham post if Hodgson leaves for Liverpool.)
Group H - Vicente del Bosque, Spain - I can't blame Fernando Torres and Humberto Suazo, two of the more disappointing players in this group, because both are coming off injuries that have prevented them from playing a full 90 minutes in months so my disappointing figure is the Spanish skipper. In a group where goal differential was life or death, del Bosque seemed content to just pass the ball around, a la Arriaga and Arriaga II.
Funniest Moment: The intensity of Fabio Capello
Best XI: (4-5-1) GK - Tim Howard, USA D - Diego Lugano, Uruguay D - Ricardo Carvalho, Portugal D - Lucio, Brazil D - Nadir Belhadj, Algeria MF - Keisuke Honda, Japan MF - Mesut Özil, Germany MF - Landon Donovan, USA MF - Lionel Messi, Argentina MF - Diego Forlan, Uruguay ST - David Villa, Spain
Quick Round of 16 Predictions: Uruguay over South Korea (I know I am posting this after the completion of this match, but I had Uruguay all along, trust me) USA over Ghana Netherlands over Slovakia Brazil over Chile (in extra time) Germany over England (I think this one is destined for PKs) Argentina over Mexico Paraguay over Japan Spain over Portugal (PKs)
The United States topped their group with a thrilling one-nil win over Algeria just before the stroke of midnight. Ghana limped in with a loss to Germany but, thanks to Australia's upset of Serbia, advanced on goal differential. Saturday in Rustenburg at Royal Bafokeng stadium they'll square off in the second match of the round of 16.
First we flash back to 2006 in Nuremberg, Germany. In the last game of Group E, we would advance with a win (and an Italy win, which happened) over Ghana. In a soft performance by the USA that rounded out a terrible campaign, we crashed out with a 1-2 loss.
Fast forward to now: Claudio Reyna and his creaking bones are gone and Onyewu is four years more mature. The Yanks are coming with a ton of momentum, having put together some of their best showings ever starting with the second half against Slovenia. Landon Donovan has finally come of age and is ready to exorcise the demons of 2006, and for the first time soccer is not just a small blip on the United States' sports radar.
On the other hand, the Black Stars are on a downward slope; after starting with a win over Serbia, they tied a ten man Australia and then lost to the Germans. They do have one advantage: as the last African team left, the whole continent is behind them.
But just how good is this home field "advantage"? People expected Cameroon, Nigeria, Ivory Coast and hosts South Africa to have full support of the locals, yet they all were eliminated at the group stage. In addition, the USA has reportedly bought the most tickets out of any nation and Uncle Sam's army has been in full force for all our games. Our correspondent in South Africa bought a scalped Algeria ticket for only $20. You can bet a horde of American will flock to Rustenburg and buy up the remaining tickets to root us on to the quarterfinals. Hardly seems like Africa will be empowering Ghana from the stands.
When it comes down to it, the teams are pretty evenly matched. Both favor a physically intense, high octane game. The Yanks defense has been pretty solid, and Ghana's Serbian coach Milovan Rajevac has instilled a defensive discipline not seen in African sides. They are both very young squads whose players don't perform consistently, yet are a real threat on their day. The game could go either way, and boils down to a few things:
Which Ghana offense shows up? They have only scored two goals this tournament, both from penalties. Against Australia they showed a real lack of patience, shooting from over 25 yards away, which will not trouble our keeper Tim Howard
The USA key attacking players: Donovan, Dempsey, and Altidore. All had great spurts and runs, but often they do it at different times. If they are firing on all cylinder together, I reckon they'll be unstoppable.
Ghana's defense: Their backline is either very young or very old, both of which are exploitable.
Will Jonathan Bornstein start? Its been documented that I'm not his biggest fan. While he played well enough against Algeria, I'd rather not press our luck, especially against the tricky and pacey Prince Tagoe.
Who partners Jozy up top? Hercules didn't look to bad and Buddle ran off of Altidore well, but Bob Bradley obviously favors Robbie Findley.
Battle in the middle: its our two, Michael Bradley and Maurice Edu, against their three, Kevin-Prince Boateng, Anthony Annan, and Andre Ayew. Bradley and Boateng will be quite the battle. Both are hot-headed and rough and neither will back down from a confrontation.
Don't give up a early goal. England score in the fourth minute, Slovenia in the thirteenth, and Algeria rocked the crossbar in the fifth minute and it nearly made me shit my heart. Just once lets not go behind and leave it to a nail-bitting ending. Lets score early and often then shut up shop, which is easier said than done of course.
If the USA plays like we did the last game and half and Ghana doesn't step it up, the Yanks should march on to the quarterfinals. If we come out flat, we may just be packing our bags. But momentum is with us, and we sure play well with momentum. I say USA 3, Ghana 1. Lets not end this dream just yet.
cornezinho-North Korea's Jong Tae-Se, aka The People's Wayne Rooney, guaranteeing to score a "goal a game" and that his team would accompany Brasil into the knockout stages. Or Fernando Torres's futile attempts at trying to score, or playing football in general. Or nearly everything John Harkes says, which is all unintentional comedy. I was considering keeping a log of his best quotes, but that required listening to John Harkes intently entirely too much.
Biggest surprises so far:
RGaucho-The biggest surprise for me has easily been Japan. I thought they were going to lose all three matches, and score one goal at the most. Instead, they score two amazing free kicks within 5 minutes of each other, play disciplined and passionate defense, and have a breakout star in Honda, who I had no knowledge of before the tournament started. Note to self: pay less attention to Serie A, the league and Italian footballers in general suck these days.
cornezinho-Both Japan and South Korea have been impressive, and I've been delightfully please with how well our boys of the USA have played. Also, I knew France was having troubles, but the extent to which it derailed their campaign was incredible. Evra argued with a coach, they boycotted practice, Anelka and Ribery wouldn't pass to Gourcuff, and all the other drama was straight out of a bad soap opera.
Best XI:
RGaucho-Tim Howard (USA) GK, Maicon (Brasil) RB, Ricardo Carvalho (Portugal) CB, Diego Lugano (Uruguay) CB, Carlos Salcido (Mexico) LB, Mesut Ozil (Germany) CM, Michael Bradley (USA) CM, Lionel Messi (Argentina) CAM, Diego Forlan (Uruguay) CF, Keisuke Honda (Japan) CF, David Villa (Spain) ST
cornezinho-Tim Howard (USA) GK, Maicon (Brasil) RB, Ricardo Carvalho (Portugal) CB, Diego Lugano (Uruguay) CB, Philip Lahm (Germany) LB, Bastian Schweinsteiger (Germany) CM, Michael Bradley (USA) CM, Lionel Messi (Argentina) CAM, Landon Donovan (USA) RW, Keisuke Honda (Japan) LW, David Villa (Spain) ST
The round of 16 starts tomorrow. The group stages were heated and it only gets better from here.
Finally the group stages of the 2010 FIFA World Cup from South Africa are over. We've said goodbye to last years finalists, France and Italy, and a world stage hello to some bright youngsters like Mesut Ozil and Michael Bradley. And while we salivate for the Round of 16 to begin, here are some notes on the group stages (commentary by cornezinho, Daave's to be uploaded later):
Best player of the group:
Group A:
RGaucho-Diego Forlan, Uruguay. Captain Forlan put in two goals and showed good hold up play to help the Uruguayans explode out of the back on counter attacks.
cornezinho-Diego Lugano, Uruguay. A solid performance in the center of defense, Lugano was the first to disrupt the opposing team's offense and the last man to get beat, which rarely happened. Was also a threat on set pieces.
Group B:
RGaucho-Lionel Messi, Argentina. Still without a goal, Messi's mazy runs and pinpoint passing has left defenses in shambles and goalkeepers trembling.
cornezinho-Messi. Higuain may have three goals, but Argentina has been Messi's team and he is just waiting to hit the net and open the floodgates.
cornezinho-Michael Bradley, USA. Bradley has been the definition of a box-to-box midfielder. He has marshaled the center of the pitch with great expertise for a 22-year-old, doing it nearly entirely on his own against Algeria when Maurice Edu was subbed out. And he scored the equalizer against Slovenia. If he keeps it up, his club Borussia Monchengladbach are certainly going to receive offers for him.
Group D:
RGaucho-Mesut Ozil, Germany. A classic no. 10, Ozil is Germany's creative force, dribbling at defenders and delivering incisive passes. And that sick goal against Ghana.
cornezinho-Bastian Schweinsteiger, Germany. I put him in my first round XI and he is not being left out now. A thigh injury might rule him out against England which is a tragedy, since he will be needed for the battle with Lampard and Barry.
Group E:
RGaucho-Keisuke Honda, Japan. Honda was an inspiration on offense and an ever-present danger in a surprising Blue Samurai squad.
cornezinho-Honda. The winning goal against Cameroon and his dominance against Denmark leaves him a rising star and a purchase by a top European club seems eminent. His first free kick was brilliant and the feint and pass for the defining goal was a masterclass move.
Group F:
RGaucho-Robert Vittek, Slovakia. Scored all of Slovakia's goals (3) until the third goal against Italy. What more can you ask from a striker.
cornezinho-Ryan Nelsen/New Zealand. Nelsen was the captain of the All White's stifling defense but no one player deserves the accolade. The Kiwis were expected to leave with zero points and no dignity, but shocked everyone and left South Africa undefeated (three draws) and ahead of cup defenders Italy.
Group G:
RGaucho-Maicon, Brasil. The marauding right fullback scored an excellent goal against Commie Korea and was a force on both offense and defense.
cornezinho-Ricardo Carvalho, Portugal. A big reason why Portugal gave up zero goals in the group, was able to shut down Chelsea teammate Didier Drogba and Brasil's Luis Fabiano without any of his dreaded two-footed tackles.
cornezinho-Andres Iniesta, Spain. The Barcelona play maker came in fresh of injury but still showed off his innate dribbling abilities and fantastic vision. He was a bright star in La Roja's loss to the Swiss and was rewarded with a clinical goal for his fantastic display against Chile.
Now the list you don't want to be on, the worst performers of the group:
Group A:
RGaucho-Patrice Evra, France. The Captain, didn't really do his job of organizing and unify the squad.
cornezinho- France as a whole, with the exception of keeper Hugo Lloris. What an embarrassment.
Group B:
RGaucho-Sani Kaita, Nigeria. Received an extremely dumb red card against Greece for an "attempted" kick. Yeah, the Greece scum play-acted the encounter, but you just can't be doing that. Especially to the dirty, mischievous Greeks.
cornezinho-Martin Demichelis, Argentina. The centerback is good for one good screw up a game and is a real liability. It cost them a goal against South Korea in a comfortable win, but as the tournament goes on it could be a fatal mistake.
Group C:
RGaucho-Wayne Rooney, England. Rooney was supposed to be the savior of England, but all that he has mustered up is a shot off the post against Slovenia.
cornezinho-Rooney, or England as a whole. Its a combination of severe under performing and over hyping by the British media, but England has been dismal and most likely will be put out of their misery by their old foes, the Germans.
Group D:
RGaucho-Nikola Zigic, Serbia. The 6'8" couldn't head for crap and managed as many shots on goal as goals (zero). He even managed to block a teammate's goal bound shot against Ghana.
cornezinho-Serbia's defense. Anchored by Nemanja Vidic and Branislav Ivanovic, they only gave up three goals but gifted two penalties by deciding to use their arms instead of their heads on crosses, which is frowned upon in football. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot (which also frowned upon).
cornezinho-Cameroon. For a team with a bunch of good players, the Indomitable Lions were very much domitable, finishing with zero points. They only ever looked like they would draw with Denmark, but poor finishing and even poorer defending undid that.
Group F:
RGaucho-Everybody on Italy except Quagliarella. Age factory aside, the Azzuri lacked quality, continuity, and even their usually dependable defense was as holey as the Shroud of Turin. They only showed a sense of urgency with 15 minutes left against Slovakia when elimination was impending. The increased effort was 255 minutes too late.
cornezinho-Fabio Cannavaro, Italy. Their captain really played like a 38-year-old. It didn't help that Italy was poor overall, but Cannavaro gave Paraguay their goal by not even jumping for the header off the set piece and displayed reactions like a geriatric cat for New Zealand's goal when the ball fell into his lap.
cornezinho-Emmanuel Eboue, Ivory Coast. Arsenal's Kanye West look-alike was part of Elephant's dismal midfield, and his biggest impact I remember was delaying the Portugal game after going down from a tackle.
Group H:
RGaucho-Fernando Torres, Spain. Put plain and simple, El Nino was awful, epitomized by a chance against Honduras from about 12 yards out that is currently still in orbit somewhere above Johannesburg.
cornezinho-Torres. You could see on his face how disappointed in himself he was. 'Nando was rustier than a hillbilly lawn ornament.
When you are trying to watch every game of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa, having two games played at once can be an issue. Thankfully, there is a solution. The primary television (right) broadcasts in beautiful HD, while the secondary television (left) streams off espn3.com in a slightly lesser but still good quality. Thus, nothing will be missed. And the hand-made cardboard US crest (top) will keep our spirits high.
We are officially half way through the 2010 FIFA World Cup from South Africa with 32 of the 64 games now over. We've seen the good, the bad, and the ugly, and we are now immune to the sound of bees, blenders, lawn mowers, weed-wackers and the voice of the Nanny thanks to those lovely vuvuzelas. Tomorrow begins the final games of the group stages; some teams will be extending their camp stays, others will be home before the post cards arrive. We have all the different scenarios for you so you'll know each teams chances of advancing without ending your brain's summer vacation.
First, the FIFA rules on the group stage rankings. Obviously the teams are ranked first by points, then by goal differential. If two (or three) teams are even on both, the next tiebreaker is goals scored, followed by head-to-head (like if one team beat the other). The next three rules pertain mostly to a three way tie and are similar to the previous two, read here on the FIFA website. Lastly, if all is still tied, a name is pulled out of a hat. Yes, in the world's most important sporting event, or event in general, fates can be decided by random chance. Lovely ain't it?
GROUP A--Mexico (4 points, +3 goal differential) v Uruguay (4 pts, +2 GD), France (1 pt, -2 GD) v SouthAfrica (1 pt, -3 GD)
Les Blues and Bafana Bafana are opponents in the same boat; a tie eliminates them both, otherwise they need to win, and win big, by at least four goals. Plus they need Mexico and Uruguay to not tie. If the two teams from the Americas tie they advance for sure, otherwise its going to take a lot of work by either team in the other game.
Prediction: Going out on a limb here, but I'm saying Mexico and Uruguay tie and go on. Hopefully the hosts can end their tournament with a win for the locals, which is plausible considering that at France's rate of self destruction, tomorrow they may field a team of reserves, coaches, and the reanimated corpse of Napoleon.
GROUP B--Argentina (6 pts, +4 GD) v Greece (3 pts, -1 GD), South Korea (3 pts, -1 GD) v Nigeria (0 pts, -2 GD)
Argentina has pretty much qualified. Only real big wins by both Greece and Korea would knock out los Albicelestes. Argentina will be looking to end on a high with a win, and Greece will have trouble even getting a tie. Tomorrow is basically a race between Greece and Korea, and Korea has the advantage of scoring one more goal in the event they both tie plus not having to play Argentina. Nigeria's chances are not too slim, where a two goal win and a Greece loss lets them through.
Prediction: Korea dominated Greece and the scoreline against Argentina didn't reflect how well they played. They should beat or at least tie Nigeria, and Argentina is definitely not showing any mercy against Greece.
GROUP C-- Slovenia (4 pts, +1 GD) v England (2 pts, 0 GD), USA (2 pts, 0 GD) v Algeria (1 pt, -1 GD)
Let's not even get started on how the USA should be leading with four points were it not for dubious referring. However, our destiny is in our hands, and we advance with a win. If we tie, we need Slovenia to win, or for a Slovenia/England tie that scores two less goals than our tie. Algeria advances with a win and England loss/tie or win by more than one goal. If England wins they advance for sure, and Slovenia only needs to get points to advance for sure.
Prediction: The Yanks showed last summer they can beat North African teams (Egypt) and we should win, despite my ill harbored feelings that it's a game we could lose. England needs to finally get it together; they have the quality to smash Slovenia, but so too against us and Algeria. I see USA and England making it to the Round of 16, but anyone in this group can advance.
GROUP D-- Ghana (4 pts, +1 GD) v Germany (3 pts, +3 GD), Serbia (3 pts, 0 GD) v Australia (1 pt, -4 GD)
Ghana should have sealed their fate by beating the 10-man Aussies, but they still advance for sure with a win or tie. Germany will be going all out after feeling they were robbed against Serbia and advance with a win. If both games tie, Germany and Ghana advance. Serbia advances only with a win or a tie and Germany loss. Australia needs a win and Germany loss or they are on a plane back down under.
Prediction: In the World Cup you just can't count out Germany, and I think they definitely will get the job done. Australia could go out with a bang and hold Serbia at bay, other wise the two European teams will get through at the expense of Africa's last real hope.
GROUP E-- Netherlands (6 pts, +3 GD) v Cameroon (0 pts, -2 GD), Japan (3 pts, -1 GD) v Denmark (3 pts, -2 GD)
These two games are entirely independent; Netherlands advances for sure and Cameroon is already eliminated. Its a showdown between the Blue Samurai and Olssen's Eleven where winner takes all. Thanks to goal differential, Japan advances with a tie.
Prediction: Netherlands retains first (duh) and Japan advances. It could go either way, but since Japan has the advantage of being able to tie, odds are in their favor. However, my ESPN bracket hopes the Danes pull it off.
GROUP F--Paraguay (4 pts, +2 GD) v New Zealand (2 pts, 0 GD), Italy (2 pts, 0 GD) v Slovakia (1 pt, -2 GD)
This group reads the same as Group C, just replace Slovenia with Paraguay, England with NZ, USA with Italy and Algeria with Slovakia.
Prediction: New Zealand has two more points than anyone expected but their luck will probably run out as an in-form Paraguay will not take any chances. I wouldn't put it past Italy to sit back for one of their trademark zero-zero draws and try to hit on the counter attack. Paraguay and Italy should go through.
GROUP G--Brasil (6 pts, +3 GD) v Portugal (4 pts, +7 GD), Ivory Coast (1 pt, -2 GD) v North Korea (0 pts, -8 GD)
Brasil is through, but they want first place and to end on a win. Portugal have nearly sealed their spot thanks to the rainy 7-0 drubbing of DPRK. Ivory Coast can only advance with a Portugal loss and a win that makes up a combined 10 goal difference. North Korea's chances at advancing before the tournament were as mythical as the winged horse they're named after, but now they are probable as one of their citizens leaving the country freely.
Prediction: Brasil will make sure they seal first but Portugal should advance just fine. Though Ivory Coast will certainly try to run up the score on the Commie Koreans, which should be fun.
GROUP H-- Chile (6 pts, +2 GD) v Spain (3 pts, +1 GD), Switzerland (3 pts, 0 GD) v Honduras (0 pts, -3 GD)
Honduras is pretty much as good as out, but a result against Switzerland will ruin their hot chocolate party. Spain needs a win if the Swiss win/tie. Chile advances with any points, but are definitely ruing their missed chances against Honduras and Switzerland for goal differential purposes. In the likely event of a Swiss victory, in order for Chile and Spain to go through, Spain must win by one, and Switzerland only by one as well. Chile could then pip the Swiss on goals scored or, if that is tied, head-to-head.
Prediction: Spain will win the offense-heavy battle with Chile in what hopefully will be a high-flying, high scoring affair. Switzerland shouldn't come undone by Honduras and will likely edge out Chile on goal differential. Which is unfortunate because I hate defensive teams and Chile's high-octane style is so entertaining.
Remember, groups are played at the same time for fairness issues. Before the Round of 16 starts our "experts" (and I use that team loosely) will put their reputations on the line and make their picks. Enjoy!
One more round left to go in group play and there are only two teams that have secured advancement (Brazil, Holland) and two teams that have been eliminated (Cameroon, North Korea) so there is still plenty to play for in these last matches. The two games that the 32 teams have been illuminating, but certainly are no indication of what will happen come the knockout stage. Here is how I feel the teams stand so far heading into the climactic matches of the group stage.
1. Brazil - Some have speculated that the Brazilians scoreline wasn't dominant enough North Korea, but there is no question that the Seleçao have asserted themselves as the top dogs in this tournament. They completely controlled possession and pace against DPRK and Ivory Coast, using technical skill to break down their opponents. Brazil has brought preparation, focus, and discipline, qualities that other contenders clearly left at home.
2. Argentina - Gonzalo Higuain may be in pole position for the Golden Boot award, but this has been Lionel Messi's team. The 1-0 result against Nigeria contained a multitude of scoring chances for Argentina that were finished properly in the 4-1 victory over South Korea, many of which were set up by Messi. There are definite and valid questions regarding the back line, in particular the play of Martin Dimichelis, but it seems as if the two South American powers are on a collision course for the final, fitting considering the dominance of the continent in this World Cup.
3. Holland - This isn't your father's Oranje. Only three goals so far for the Netherlands, one of which was an own goal, but it is on the defensive end where Holland has shined bright. I don't think the match commentators have uttered Maarten Stekelenburg's name. The next match against already eliminated Cameroon should provide rest for the starters (Arjen Robben in particular) and provide a showcase for Eljero Elia, who has been a revelation off the bench. All I ask is that the Dutch bust out those kick-ass white kits.
4. Germany - I think Germany was a bit unlucky in the Serbia match, with Miroslav Klose being sent off and Lukas Podolski missing the penalty. The 4-0 drubbing of Australia has still been the finest start to finish match by any team so far and I have a feeling that Mesut Özil is just getting warmed up. It should be noted that Germany lost to Croatia in the group stage of Euro 08, but rallied back to make it to the final. I wouldn't be too concerned if I were a Mannschaft supporter.
5. Spain - Spain has been a puzzling team for me. Bob Bradley has seemed to provided the blueprint for beating Spain by shutting down the midfield passing and attacking on the counter, a strategy implemented by the Swiss in their 1-0 win. La Furia Roja rebounded nicely today in their 2-0 win over Honduras, but it seemed like they stepped off the gas in the last half hour, which could come back to haunt them in a group that will seem to come down to goal differential. The upcoming Chile game looms large.
6. Uruguay - Uruguay's ranking here might be a bit inflated due to the fact that they've played France and South Africa, two sides that are crumbling away. That being said, Diego Forlan has been dominant, establishing himself as one of the world's best players. His strike against South Africa has been one of the goals of the tournament.
7. Portugal - I am not placing too much stock in today's 7-0 thrashing of North Korea mostly because I feel like most teams in this tournament could have placed 3 or 4 in the net against the melted down second half defense of DPRK. The massive goal differential will surely secure placement in the knockout stage, but more importantly, the North Korea blowout might be the confidence booster Cristiano & Co. need as they get set to face Brazil.
8. Chile - La Roja overcame some dubious yellow cards and a packed in Swiss defense to earn a deserved three points. The showdown with Spain should be the most interesting game of the third round as Switzerland is sure to beat Honduras, but it will be the first real test of the Chilean defense.
9. USA - I may be writing this through red, white and blue tinted glasses, but other than the first half against Slovenia and the opening five minutes against England, the Americans have impressed. Remember that the U.S. would have 4 points if not for Koman Coulibaly. I am intrigued to see who will start up top and at centre back foe the Yanks following the Robbie Findley suspension and poor performance of Oguchi Onyewu. I think Gooch will end up starting, but I expect Edson Buddle and Jonathan Spector to make their tournament debuts.
10. Paraguay - Group F really is terrible, but Paraguay has performed admirably. I don't think it would be stunning to see a run to the quarterfinals for the Guaranies.
11. Mexico - It pains me to say this, but El Tri is a real dark horse to make it to the semis. Carlos Vela's injury is a real concern, but Javier Hernandez has stepped up admirably in his absence. I'm still not sure what Cuahtemoc Blanco is doing out there and Oscar Perez is a legitimate liability in goal, but the path has been cleared for Mexico to make a run.
12. Slovenia - How I hate their goal celebrations. What a bunch of ninnies. Aside from that, both goals against the U.S. were legit and I think they have a great shot at taking 3 points from England. Samir Handovic came into the tournament as an underrrated keeper, but this picture says it all about his performace in the tournament thus far.
13. Ghana - The youth of the Ghanians is starting to show. I was stunned that they didn't play more aggressively when they were up a man against Australia, especially considering their final group match is against a motivated Germand side. They must score from the run of play if they have any chance of advancing as they are the last chance Africa has to be represented in the final sixteen.
14. Serbia - I have been fairly unimpressed by Serbia after two games, especially with Nemanja Vidic and the back line. Two (basically) intentional hand balls in the box in two consecutive games is not a positive sign. As noted with Ghana, I was surprised that they didn't play more proactively once Klose was ejected, especially since this is likely to be another goal differential group.
15. Denmark - A lousy first game against the Dutch, was followed up with a fine performance against a desperate Cameroon side. Nicklas Bendtner scored a mighty fine goal, making up for the lackluster showing from Jon Dahl Tomasson. The 2-1 score line probably should have been inflated for both squads, which speaks volumes about Denmark's offensive and defensive states.
16. Switzerland - I am ready to put Switzerland up with Greece as one of the most despicable sides in football. Essentially playing a 10-1 formation and hoping for a counter attack score is bad for football and I hate to see it rewarded like the Swiss did against Spain. But as proved in the '06 World Cup, packing it in will only get an offensively mediocre team so far.
17. South Korea - South Korea has been a fun team to watch; disciplined and organized and ready to pounce on any mistakes by opponents. Back home, the fans are excited.
18. England - I think Fabio Capello is on the nose when he says that his side is facing too much pressure. After the Rob Green catastrophe, no one wanted to make a mistake against Algeria and the passivity cost the Three Lions dearly. But do you think that Brazil, Argentina, Italy and any of the other favorite aren't facing as much if not more pressure? The mental makeup of this team is in shambles and its up to its true leaders Frank Lampard and Steven Gerrard to step it up.
19. Italy - Speaking of a team in shambles and lacking leadership, the Azzurri clearly miss Andrea Pirlo. Luckily for the Italians, they only have to get by Slovakia to advance, but then again, we thought the same of New Zealand.
20. Japan - The Blue Samurai have punched above their weight with solid efforts against Nigeria Holland, but can they do it a third time against Denmark? It would take another Herculean effort from the backline and Keisuke Honda to do so, but I don't think Japan has it in them to advance.
21. Ivory Coast - A real disappointment, even with the injury to Drogba. No creativity, no inspiration, no zeal from any of these guys. The hiring of Sven-Goran Eriksson was a shortsighted and potentially disastrous move. The acting exhibition from Kader Keita says it all in word: pathetic.
22. Algeria - Algeria has (understandably) parked the bus for the last two games, but I expect their match against the USA to be more open, as they also need the 3 points (and positive goal differential) in order to advance. Nadir Belhadj and the rest of the defense was outstanding against England, but the offense hasn't showing anything to date, making advancement a dubious proposition.
23. New Zealand - The Kiwis!
I took great joy out of New Zealand's draw with Italy, but this is too good to last. Paraguay seems to have it together and the All White can only keep taking so many shots on goal. Still, a fine, fine performance from Ryan Nelsen, Mark Paston and the rest of the Kiwis. They have much to be proud of.
24. Australia - What a nightmare campaign for Australia. Tim Cahill unfairly and harshly getting sent off and Harry Kewell's injury and handball in the box, nothing is going right for Australia. It was nice to see them fight back from the Kewell setback and battle to the end against Ghana. But at this point the only thing that a Socceroo fan could hope for is a start to finish effort to play the spoiler against Serbia.
25. Slovakia - Probably the most snoozeworthy side in the tournament. Things pretty much ended for them after allowing the stoppage time goal to New Zealand.
26. South Africa - Ah it started so well for Bafana Bafana. I truly felt for the hosts when Itumeleng Khune, who had been great in the two matches, got sent off. But the self-destruction of the French ensure that South Africa have an excellent chance to end things on a winning note.
27. Cameroon - They had their chances against Denmark, but Cameroon has been doomed from the start. Paul Le Goen is surely ruing his decision to leave Alexandre Song out of the starting XI against Japan, although I am sure that he'll be glad to get away from this dysfunctional group.
28. France - What a disaster. From a non-footballing standpoint, France has been the most fun team to follow. You know that soccer has reached the American sporting mainstream when talk of the French circus and "Le Sulk" Anelka getting Le Sent Home, is being talked about more than the U.S. Open.
29. Honduras - Not much to say about Los Catrachos. Expectations were low for the 3rd place CONCACAF team and its safe to say that those expectations have been met.
30. Greece - Despite getting three points from the lackadaisical Super Eagles, Greece's chancing of advancing are virtually nil. They will be the lambs to Argentina's slaughter tomorrow.
31. Nigeria - Another African disappointment. Sani Kaita's foolish red card did it in for Nigeria as they are set to wrap up yet another disappointing World Cup appearance.
32. North Korea - After such a promising start, North Korea confirmed initial suspicions that they really do suck.
Most Intriguing 3rd Round Group Play Matches Portugal v. Brazil - Can Portugal and Brazil continue their hot streaks? Chile v. Brazil - Essentially an elimination game. Ghana v. Germany - Was the Serbia game an aberration for the Germans?
Well each team has now played their first game in the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa. We've seen some really boring games and goal droughts thanks to everyone being overcautious and unpolished. With no further adieu, I give you the Ambitious Effort starting XI of the first round:
Asamoah Gyan, Striker (Ghana vs Serbia)--Gyan was a real nuisance for a strong Serbian defense that features Man Utd's Nemanja Vidic. Gyan made good runs across the lines and held up play well when needed. Some dribbling runs ended with bad shots, but who didn't shoot poorly in the opening round. The Ghanaian striker hit a header off the post but was rewarded with a goal thanks to a well-taken penalty off of Kuzmanovic's inexplicably stupid handball to earn the Black Stars a win.
Eljero Elia, Left Wing (Netherlands vs Denmark)--Elia came in as a second half sub and instantly made an impact, turning two defenders and racing down the wing before crossing. Denmark's right flank had no answer for Elia's creativity and double teams were fruitless. His effort on goal from a Sneijder chipped through ball was unlucky to hit the upright but provided a tap in for everyone's "favorite" work horse, Dirk Kuyt.
Alexis Sanchez, Right Wing (Chile vs Honduras)--Sure, Honduras isn't exactly the world's best defense, but Sanchez was an absolute joy to watch on the ball, frequently taking on two, three, or even four defenders with aplomb. While he looked a little too Walcott-ish in front of goal and probably should have claimed a goal, Sanchez was quite dynamite and deserves a spot in the top XI.
Lionel Messi, Attacking Mid (Argentina vs Nigeria)--You had to know Messi would be on this list. Little Leo was up to his usual darting runs with the ball glued to his foot and was certainly the spark in the Argentina offense. Messi should have put one away, but a few efforts went tantalizingly wide and a few were heroically denied by Nigeria's keeper Vincent Enyeama.
Bastian Schweinsteiger, Center Mid (Germany destroys Australia)--In what was easily the most lopsided game, Schweini pulled the strings delightfully and made the center of the pitch his own. Ball control, pinpoint passing, and disrupting tackles were all on display from the German in their dismantling of the Socceroos that certainly made Aussie keeper Schwarzer want to die for real.
Gokhan Inler, Center Mid (Switzerland vs Spain)--Easily the biggest upset of the tournament so far, the Swiss held the Spaniards at bay and earned a win thanks to a perfect display of Route 1 football. Inler was instrumental in this victory, helping shield his defenders by making Xavi and Xabi Alonso pass the ball wide instead of up the middle to David Villa or Fernando Torres. Inler also had the energy to go forward the few times the Swiss made their way out of their own half.
Maicon, Right Fullback (Brasil vs Commie Korea)--As always, Maicon was great going forward and uncompromising on defense. He scored the goal that opened the game up for Brasil with a surging run into the box. From a tight angle Maicon saw Luis Fabiano and Robinho both heavily marked and NK keeper Ri Myong-Guk (who otherwise had a great game) cheating the cross so he fired home with the outside of his foot. Its the finishing class we expect from the Inter wing back.
Giorgio Chiellini, Center Back (Italy vs Paraguay)--His partner in the back, Fabio Cannavaro, was having a torrid time, presumably because FIFA prohibited him from playing with his cane (get it? he's old!). Chiellini picked up the slack and put on a typical no-nonsense display, winning headers and tackles and distributing the ball well.
Jay DeMerit, Center Back (USA vs England)--Where was Wayne Rooney this game? You might want to ask his shadow, Mr. Jay DeMerit. Following Wazza around the pitch and denying him chances is no easy task, but DeMerit executed Bob Bradley's instructions well and helped us to an all important draw against England.
Philip Lahm, Left Back (Germany vs Australia)--"Wait!" you say, "Lahm played right back!" But he plays on the left for club Bayern Munich, and therefore he earns the starting role on the left on my team. The German captain put in a solid display for Die Mannschaft and provided the cross for Klose's goal and rounds out the outfield players for the best XI.
Tim Howard, Goalkeeper (USA vs England)--Timmy had a fantastic game, denying the Three Lions with 7 saves, including a breakaway against Emile Heskey (but who hasn't denied Heskey on a breakaway). Add in the fact that Howard played a majority of the game with a broken rib after a crunch with Heskey, he also earns the coveted Ambitious Effort Thug Life Award for the first round.
Manager: Ottmar Hitzfeld, Switzerland--Hitzfeld engineered the defeat of Euro champions and tournament favorites Spain. A disciplined back line and midfield pushed the Spaniards wide and made them send in aerial crosses, which favored the height of the Swiss so they could clear it comfortably. A country of skiers, watch-makers, and chocolate eaters beat a powerhouse that plays a beautiful passing game but has no Plan B. Spain is beatable, but as Americans we already knew that.
On the bench: As mentioned, Nigeria's goalie Enyeama had a great game. For Italy, Daniele De Rossi was a marshal of the midfield and grabbed their only goal; Mauro Camronesi came on as a sub and nearly instantly doubled the average playing speed of the Azzuri. Robinho provided the flair for Brasil and his perfect pass for Elano provided their second goal. Javier Mascherano was up to his usual business in the midfield for Argentina and committed one of his classic end of the game, doesn't matter if I get a yellow card reckless tackles. Ji Sung Park was the talismanic captain for South Korea's win over Greece and got his name on the score sheet.
As the games continue, I have one request: Attack more, score more! Thank you.
